Business Education

Economists Call It Induced Demand, Entrepreneurs Refer to It as a Learning Curve – But the Lesson is the Same

Economists Call It “Induced Demand,” Entrepreneurs Refer to It as a “Learning Curve” – But the Lesson is the Same

Decades ago, California attempted to alleviate and lighten heavy traffic congestion on its highways by adding more lanes. Upon completing construction, the new thoroughfares opened, and, congestion significantly dissipated. Then, gradually, traffic became heavier and heavier. Eventually, the very problem the state tried to tackle returned, but there were more vehicles than before, and traffic moved even slower. The new travel lane additions didn’t solve the problem – they only made congestion worse.

Economists call this phenomenon “induced demand.” This term is a fancy way to say it entices and causes more people to use something. The concept of induced demand, first proposed by economist Anthony Downs in his 1982 book “Stuck in Traffic,” suggests that increasing road capacity may not diminish traffic congestion due to the Triple Convergence Theory. This theory posits that new capacity attracts three types of travelers: those who change routes, those who adjust their travel times, and those who switch modes of transportation to driving. These shifts in behavior lead to increased usage of the new capacity, negating the intended benefits of reduced congestion.

The lesson in the California road expansion project is simple – the state planned based on theory and had little to no quantifiable data that widening the highways would work. Although it seems perfectly logical to add additional lanes to lessen traffic congestion, the reaction by motorists wasn’t fully considered. And, it’s this very intention that can land entrepreneurs into considerable trouble.

Why Entrepreneurs Should Carefully Experiment Before Fully Committing

Growing a business can be a challenging process, and it’s easy to make mistakes that can cost time and money. So, you need to be prepared and understand a few things before you attempt to move forward. Now, here are some strategies entrepreneurs can use to avoid expensive or time-consuming mistakes when growing their businesses:

Start with thorough market research. Before expanding, conduct detailed market research to understand your target audience, competitors, and industry trends. This will help you make informed decisions and avoid costly mistakes.

Then, take the time to develop a solid business plan. Create a comprehensive business plan that outlines your growth strategy, target market, financial projections, and potential risks. This will help you stay focused and make better decisions. Next, learn to lean on your strengths and do the following:

Focus on your core competencies. Stick to what you do best and avoid diversifying too quickly. Expanding into new markets or products can be risky and expensive.
Invest in technology. Leverage technology to streamline operations, improve customer experience, and increase efficiency. This can help you scale your business without incurring significant costs.
Build a strong team. Hire the right people and invest in their development. A strong team can help you avoid costly mistakes and drive growth. Remember, to succeed, you need to rely on others to help you accomplish your ultimate goals because you can’t do it all on your own.
Monitor cash flow. Keep a close eye on your cash flow to ensure you have enough money to cover expenses and invest in growth. Try to avoid debt as much as possible. The less you owe, the more options you’ll have. Freeing up resources will do wonders when you experience leaner times.
Be agile and adaptable. Be prepared to pivot your strategy if market conditions change or if you encounter unexpected challenges. Unfortunately, too many entrepreneurs become stubborn and refuse to make adjustments, typically leading to unpleasant results.
Learn from mistakes. Use mistakes as learning opportunities and adjust your strategy accordingly. When you do this, you’ll build a healthy habit. One that will allow you to reevaluate situations and change direction to avoid bad results.
Seek professional advice. Consult with experts, mentors, or advisors who can provide valuable insights and guidance. It’s highly advisable to speak with an experienced business consultant who can provide you with the right advice.

And obviously, stay organized and focused. Keep track of your progress, set clear goals, and stay focused on your priorities.

By following these strategies, entrepreneurs can avoid expensive or time-consuming mistakes and increase their chances of successfully growing their businesses.

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3 Biggest Inflation Price-Adjustment Mistakes to Avoid

November 26, 2021 No Comments

Inflation in the United States is at its highest level in 31 years, according to the Wall Street Journal. Currently, it’s measuring around 6%, and complicating matters more is supply chain issues, along with shortages in key materials, as well as labor availability. Due to these factors, businesses are faced with the decision to raise prices. Although practically any business owner would resist, this just isn’t a sound strategy. When a company’s costs rise, it must pass on at least a portion to consumers. If businesses don’t raise prices, they obviously reduce their margins, thereby reducing their revenues. So, do small businesses deal with inflation? How Small Businesses can Deal with Inflation Fortunately, there are a few key strategies you can employ to help your company through an inflationary cycle. One step you can take is to offer bulk discounts on the products you sell, incentivizing your customers to purchase more in exchange for paying less overall. Another thing that you can do is to use the same strategy for wholesale vendors, asking them for a slightly higher discount in exchange for purchasing more inventory, or materials and supplies. The PPI — producer price index– measures the prices of goods immediately postproduction and serves as a critical indicator of the pressure facing companies. Companies that weathered previous storms the best took decisive steps to counter rising inflation by pushing through price increases consistent with PPI — but that alone was not enough. —Havard Business Review Small businesses can also help to offset inflationary pressures by scheduling jobs further into the future. Since materials are more scarce at the moment, this might not be a viable strategy. Of course, this does come with a good deal of risk, because you don’t have a crystal ball into what will unfold over the next several months. Yet another strategy for coping with inflation is to move to alternative materials and supplies that cost a little less. But, be aware this might also mean having to settle for a lesser quality product. 3 Biggest Inflation Price-Adjustment Mistakes to Avoid If these strategies aren’t enough or don’t appeal to you, there are definitely things you should avoid doing. Because any one of these will likely be extremely costly in one way or another. Here are the three most dangerous mistakes businesses really need to avoid in their inflation adjustment pricing: Apologizing. Sure, it’s human nature to empathize. But, you’re not the driving force in rising prices, nor are you in control of the elements that are causing inflation to rise. Although it’s tempting to apologize for having to charge more, it puts you in a position of weakness and can easily lead to you reducing prices at a time where it’s just not feasible. Overcharging. Obviously, price gouging is illegal. But, charging more (particularly above the new, higher market rate) in order to cover your rising costs and increase your margin at the same time is not advisable. Doing this will only result in driving customers to look for less expensive alternatives in your competitors and leave you with a guilty conscience. Undercharging. This is perhaps the biggest temptation small business owners face during inflationary periods. They empathize with their customers, being affected in their own personal lives too. So, they decide to keep their prices the same or only raise them as little as possible, thereby cutting into their margins. While customers will certainly appreciate the break, it could very well become a self-inflicted wound that leads to ruin. What other suggestions do you have for dealing with inflation price adjustments? Please take a brief moment to leave a comment and share your thoughts and experiences so others can benefit from your strategies. Interested in learning more about business? Then just visit Waters Business Consulting Group.

Waiting for Perfection is a Perfect Recipe for Failure

May 16, 2017 No Comments

We see it all the time–especially in the technology sector–companies pushing out products that aren’t perfect. Bugs, hang-ups, you name it, they exist right inside, and it’s usually weeks, even months, before the fixes come. It happened when Disney first opened its parks, when Apple rolled-out a smartphone with a proprietary map, when this or that company introduced a product with this or that problem. With so much money at-stake, and, the sheer number of consumers waiting with baited breath to get their hands on the latest, it’s little wonder why companies push-out products that aren’t quite ready. The question is about these instances is just why that is a reality? Why is it that mega-corporations, with some of the best talent on the planet, putting out products with bugs? The answer might lie in the quality control, or, it could be just a matter of human limitation–that is, not knowing everything about the product and/or not being able to foresee the future. Waiting for Perfection is a Perfect Recipe for Failure Though large organizations do introduce products that have problems, these are usually minor. However annoying the faults might be, they are not typically too big a deal. It does boggle the mind how it happens, but, it gives us a very good lesson about business: waiting for perfection is a perfect recipe for failure. Chasing perfection can become an addiction that’s unlikely to help your peace of mind or your business. It seems counterintuitive to stop reaching for perfection, especially since we’re often told it’s the only way to achieve success. All the extra time and effort to ensure every aspect of your business is perfect won’t move your company forward, and it’s very likely to drive you crazy. —Forbes Like the nearby quote states, it can be downright unhealthy to chase perfection. The larger lesson, though, is that nothing is ever finished if it isn’t started. We’re talking about ideas, new products and/or services, a new take on something old. Whatever it might be, entrepreneurs can’t wait to get it perfect because the longer it stays inside as a secret, the more opportunity there is for someone else with a similar idea to launch and chase their dream. While you’re waiting to get it 100 percent right, it’s costing you time, effort, and a lot of frustration. Instead of striving for perfection, here’s what you ought to be doing: Place value in feedback. You can always make changes and when people see that you’re not only willing to make them, but also to make other improvements, will come to trust your brand. Understand that you have limitations. Sure, you might be able to get it to work without a hiccup, but that comes at the cost of lost time and revenue. What’s more, you’re putting way too much pressure on yourself and team to demand it be exactly right. Launch in stages, if possible. If you are able to do so, release it in stages and fix along the way. Chances are if you can do it incrementally, you’ll see things that can be changed or improved for the next increment release. While you can wait to make it great, you shouldn’t rush to completion. Sometimes, companies give into the temptation to rush something out, even if it’s completed, just to get it out to sell. When you hurry, you make mistakes and don’t have the time for consideration. Perfection is admirable, but, it means you’ll fail if you keep waiting and waiting to launch. This type of Start up practice; don’t wait for perfection … has been formulated recently into what is called Lean Startup Methodology. Several of my colleagues and I met on this subject and we are planning a work shop for Entrepreneurs in October. As written by Steve Blank in the Harvard Business Review, “…recently an important countervailing force has emerged, one that can make the process of starting a company less risky. It’s a methodology called the “lean start-up,” and it favors experimentation over elaborate planning, customer feedback over intuition, and iterative design over traditional “big design up front” development. Although the methodology is just a few years old, its concepts—such as “minimum viable product” and “pivoting”— have quickly taken root in the start-up world, and business schools have already begun adapting their curricula to teach them.” Take your idea to market and test what the buyer says about it … today! [shareaholic app=”follow_buttons” id=”26833294″]

The Valuable Business Lessons of 1873, 1893, Mars Music, and Tomorrow

October 17, 2024 No Comments

Back in the late nineteenth century, America experienced an incredible economic boom. With the Civil War long over and people moving west, the country enjoyed a boom cycle that lasted nearly a decade. Ironically, this good fortune would sour and become the direct cause of a national crisis. Throughout history, the business world has been marked by cycles of boom and bust, often fueled by ambition and the allure of rapid growth. The economic panics of 1873 and 1893, along with the rise and fall of companies like Mars Music over a century later, offer valuable lessons for entrepreneurs and businesses today. Although separated by decades, these historical events share a common thread: the dangers of hasty, unchecked overexpansion. So, let’s take a long look at these pivotal moments, exploring how aggressive growth without a solid foundation can lead to catastrophic outcomes and what modern businesses can learn to avoid similar pitfalls in the future. The Commonality Between the Panics of 1873 and 1893 and the Collapse of Mars Music While the Panic of 1873, the Panic of 1893, and the collapse of retailer Mars Music occurred in vastly different historical contexts and economic climates, they share a fundamental commonality: hurried overexpansion and excessive debt. Both panics were triggered by overindulgent speculation and unsustainable debt levels in various sectors of the economy. In 1873, it was primarily in railroads and manufacturing, while in 1893, it was in railroads, silver mining, and other industries. Approximately 109 years later, while not on the same scale as the panics, Mars Music’s collapse was also driven by overexpansion and excessive debt. The retailer opened new stores at too rapid a pace, leading to high operating costs and a strain on its financial resources. Regardless of the specific causes, the consequences of these events were remarkably similar because they all share a common thread: the negative impact of financial instability and economic downturns. These crises highlight the importance of prudent financial management, risk assessment, and adaptability in the face of changing economic conditions. Slow and Steady Wins the Race: How Businesses Can Grow Sustainably Without Over-Expanding The rush to grow can feel like a race. Every entrepreneur wants to expand, bring in more profits, and become a household name. But, just like in any race, sprinting too fast can lead to serious missteps. So, how can businesses avoid over-expansion and ensure they grow at a healthy, sustainable rate? Well, there are some things you can do to avoid making such mistakes: Understanding the dangers of over-expansion. Let’s begin with a simple exercise. Imagine trying to walk on a tightrope while juggling. It’s tough, right? That’s what over-expansion feels like. Businesses that push too hard to grow often spread themselves too thin, losing focus on what made them successful in the first place. This can lead to lower-quality products, unhappy customers, and ultimately, shrinking profits. Set clear and achievable goals. Goal-setting is comparable to having a roadmap for your journey. Without clear directions, you might find yourself going in circles or heading off a cliff. By setting specific, measurable, and realistic goals, businesses can focus on growth steps that truly make sense. For instance, instead of thinking about opening ten stores at once, aim for one or two first. Get those right, and expand from there. Know your market inside and out. Think of your market as an ocean. If you don’t understand the tides, you’re likely to capsize your boat. Businesses need to research their target audience, understand their needs, and know the competition. This knowledge helps in making smart decisions, such as when and where to expand. By keeping a close eye on market conditions, businesses can spot opportunities without taking unnecessary risks. Focus on quality over quantity. In the race to grow, it’s easy to get excited about numbers. But remember, a small number of happy customers is far better than a big number of unhappy ones. Businesses can build a loyal customer base by focusing on creating high-quality products or services. Satisfied customers tend to return and spread the word, leading to organic growth that doesn’t come with the pitfalls of over-expansion. Keep a close eye on finances. Just as a gardener checks the soil before planting seeds, business owners should keep track of their financial health. Understanding cash flow, expenses, and profit margins can prevent a business from becoming overgrown and unmanageable. By monitoring finances regularly, companies can decide when it’s the right time to invest in growth and when it’s best to hold back. Invest in employee development. Think of employees as the roots of a mighty tree. Without strong roots, the tree can’t grow tall and wide. Investing in training and development keeps employees engaged and productive. Happy, skilled employees lead to better customer service and improved products, strengthening the business from the inside out. When the foundation is solid, the possibility for expansion becomes much easier to handle. Embrace innovation gradually. Innovation is akin to adding spice to a dish: too much can ruin the flavor. Businesses should embrace new ideas, but it’s essential to do this gradually. For instance, before launching an entirely new product line, consider introducing an improved version of an existing one. This allows businesses to gauge customer reaction and make adjustments without risking it all on a big gamble. Last but not least, continually cultivate customer relationships by building strong relationships with customers. It’s all about nurturing connections that promote loyalty. Engaging with customers through feedback loops, surveys, and social media can provide insights into what they love and what needs improvement. This dialogue can guide businesses to grow wisely, responding to customer needs rather than assuming what they want. The Path to Sustainable Growth In the end, sustainable growth is all about balance. Just as a well-fed plant needs regular care, businesses thrive with careful attention and planning. By setting achievable goals, knowing the market, focusing on quality, keeping finances in check, investing in employees, innovating wisely, and nurturing customer relationships,