Economists Call It Induced Demand, Entrepreneurs Refer to It as a Learning Curve – But the Lesson is the Same

Economists Call It “Induced Demand,” Entrepreneurs Refer to It as a “Learning Curve” – But the Lesson is the Same

Decades ago, California attempted to alleviate and lighten heavy traffic congestion on its highways by adding more lanes. Upon completing construction, the new thoroughfares opened, and, congestion significantly dissipated. Then, gradually, traffic became heavier and heavier. Eventually, the very problem the state tried to tackle returned, but there were more vehicles than before, and traffic moved even slower. The new travel lane additions didn’t solve the problem – they only made congestion worse.

Economists call this phenomenon “induced demand.” This term is a fancy way to say it entices and causes more people to use something. The concept of induced demand, first proposed by economist Anthony Downs in his 1982 book “Stuck in Traffic,” suggests that increasing road capacity may not diminish traffic congestion due to the Triple Convergence Theory. This theory posits that new capacity attracts three types of travelers: those who change routes, those who adjust their travel times, and those who switch modes of transportation to driving. These shifts in behavior lead to increased usage of the new capacity, negating the intended benefits of reduced congestion.

The lesson in the California road expansion project is simple – the state planned based on theory and had little to no quantifiable data that widening the highways would work. Although it seems perfectly logical to add additional lanes to lessen traffic congestion, the reaction by motorists wasn’t fully considered. And, it’s this very intention that can land entrepreneurs into considerable trouble.

Why Entrepreneurs Should Carefully Experiment Before Fully Committing

Growing a business can be a challenging process, and it’s easy to make mistakes that can cost time and money. So, you need to be prepared and understand a few things before you attempt to move forward. Now, here are some strategies entrepreneurs can use to avoid expensive or time-consuming mistakes when growing their businesses:

Start with thorough market research. Before expanding, conduct detailed market research to understand your target audience, competitors, and industry trends. This will help you make informed decisions and avoid costly mistakes.

Then, take the time to develop a solid business plan. Create a comprehensive business plan that outlines your growth strategy, target market, financial projections, and potential risks. This will help you stay focused and make better decisions. Next, learn to lean on your strengths and do the following:

  • Focus on your core competencies. Stick to what you do best and avoid diversifying too quickly. Expanding into new markets or products can be risky and expensive.
  • Invest in technology. Leverage technology to streamline operations, improve customer experience, and increase efficiency. This can help you scale your business without incurring significant costs.
  • Build a strong team. Hire the right people and invest in their development. A strong team can help you avoid costly mistakes and drive growth. Remember, to succeed, you need to rely on others to help you accomplish your ultimate goals because you can’t do it all on your own.
  • Monitor cash flow. Keep a close eye on your cash flow to ensure you have enough money to cover expenses and invest in growth. Try to avoid debt as much as possible. The less you owe, the more options you’ll have. Freeing up resources will do wonders when you experience leaner times.
  • Be agile and adaptable. Be prepared to pivot your strategy if market conditions change or if you encounter unexpected challenges. Unfortunately, too many entrepreneurs become stubborn and refuse to make adjustments, typically leading to unpleasant results.
  • Learn from mistakes. Use mistakes as learning opportunities and adjust your strategy accordingly. When you do this, you’ll build a healthy habit. One that will allow you to reevaluate situations and change direction to avoid bad results.
  • Seek professional advice. Consult with experts, mentors, or advisors who can provide valuable insights and guidance. It’s highly advisable to speak with an experienced business consultant who can provide you with the right advice.
And obviously, stay organized and focused. Keep track of your progress, set clear goals, and stay focused on your priorities.

By following these strategies, entrepreneurs can avoid expensive or time-consuming mistakes and increase their chances of successfully growing their businesses.

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Groupon Teaches Us These Lessons About Discounts

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Groupon is up in its latest earnings report. About 18 percent and that’s welcome news for the e-commerce discount platform. Headquartered in Chicago, Groupon launched in November 2008. It rose by leaps-and-bounds. That is, until recent years, when it experienced big time losses. In fact, its 2011 Q4 figures revealed a whopping $9.8 million loss. Ironically, that comes about a year after the Wall Street Journal forecasted it to reach $1 billion in sales faster than any other company in history. Today, it’s a different story. And, this business model teaches us all important business lessons about discounts. The Downside of Discounts Big companies aren’t immune to blunders. Right now, McDonald’s is trying a bold new experiment. There’s no guarantee it will work. But, the company won’t know unless it tries. Groupon’s saga tells us much about discounts. For participating businesses, Groupon vouchers do get more customers through the door. But the question to ask is if those same individuals would have patronized the business without a Groupon? Your marketing message plays a huge role in conveying the true value of your products. Even if your prices aren’t the lowest around, emphasizing the added value that customers get from your store, such as any guarantees you offer, personalized service or better-quality merchandise than the competition, can convince shoppers your prices are worth it. —Small Business Trends Additionally, there’s another phenomenon at play. A large majority who use a Groupon do not repatronize a partner business. After all, why pay full fare? Moreover, it does cause customers to seriously think about the value of non-discounted purchases. That starts a cycle. A business partners with Groupon. That business serves more customers during the discount period. Then, visits go back to the previous levels. If it comes at a net cost per ticket, there’s obviously no benefit. So, they do not participate in Groupon discounts again. Product and Service Discount Advantages But, this isn’t always the scenario. Some businesses gain a net plus from working with Groupon. Which means there are some distinct advantages to offering discounts on products and services. Here are the benefits to offering discounts to your customers: Attract more customers. It’s no secret people like deals. So, play to this by offering discounts on key items or services. You’ll attract new customers and this will increase repeat business at the same time. It’s a great way to advertise and to be seen as providing real value. Increase sales. With more new customers and repeat business, you’ll have more sales. If you choose the right discount strategy, you’ll come out ahead and that’s money you can use in different ways. For instance, you can purchase more inventory or put that extra sales money to other uses. Free up space. Discounts can help to free up precious shelf and/or cabinet space. This is a great move for small, independent retailers because it allows them to offload certain things to bring in new products. Bolster reputation. Offer discounts to certain people, like military and first-responders. This shows your business cares and that’s a positive for its reputation. You can do the same with elderly customers or families with small children. Do you offer discounts? If so, what kind and how much? Have you found discounts help or hurt your business? Please share your thoughts and experiences by commenting! Interested in learning more about business? Then just visit Waters Business Consulting Group.

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