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Economists Call It Induced Demand, Entrepreneurs Refer to It as a Learning Curve – But the Lesson is the Same

Economists Call It “Induced Demand,” Entrepreneurs Refer to It as a “Learning Curve” – But the Lesson is the Same

Decades ago, California attempted to alleviate and lighten heavy traffic congestion on its highways by adding more lanes. Upon completing construction, the new thoroughfares opened, and, congestion significantly dissipated. Then, gradually, traffic became heavier and heavier. Eventually, the very problem the state tried to tackle returned, but there were more vehicles than before, and traffic moved even slower. The new travel lane additions didn’t solve the problem – they only made congestion worse.

Economists call this phenomenon “induced demand.” This term is a fancy way to say it entices and causes more people to use something. The concept of induced demand, first proposed by economist Anthony Downs in his 1982 book “Stuck in Traffic,” suggests that increasing road capacity may not diminish traffic congestion due to the Triple Convergence Theory. This theory posits that new capacity attracts three types of travelers: those who change routes, those who adjust their travel times, and those who switch modes of transportation to driving. These shifts in behavior lead to increased usage of the new capacity, negating the intended benefits of reduced congestion.

The lesson in the California road expansion project is simple – the state planned based on theory and had little to no quantifiable data that widening the highways would work. Although it seems perfectly logical to add additional lanes to lessen traffic congestion, the reaction by motorists wasn’t fully considered. And, it’s this very intention that can land entrepreneurs into considerable trouble.

Why Entrepreneurs Should Carefully Experiment Before Fully Committing

Growing a business can be a challenging process, and it’s easy to make mistakes that can cost time and money. So, you need to be prepared and understand a few things before you attempt to move forward. Now, here are some strategies entrepreneurs can use to avoid expensive or time-consuming mistakes when growing their businesses:

Start with thorough market research. Before expanding, conduct detailed market research to understand your target audience, competitors, and industry trends. This will help you make informed decisions and avoid costly mistakes.

Then, take the time to develop a solid business plan. Create a comprehensive business plan that outlines your growth strategy, target market, financial projections, and potential risks. This will help you stay focused and make better decisions. Next, learn to lean on your strengths and do the following:

Focus on your core competencies. Stick to what you do best and avoid diversifying too quickly. Expanding into new markets or products can be risky and expensive.
Invest in technology. Leverage technology to streamline operations, improve customer experience, and increase efficiency. This can help you scale your business without incurring significant costs.
Build a strong team. Hire the right people and invest in their development. A strong team can help you avoid costly mistakes and drive growth. Remember, to succeed, you need to rely on others to help you accomplish your ultimate goals because you can’t do it all on your own.
Monitor cash flow. Keep a close eye on your cash flow to ensure you have enough money to cover expenses and invest in growth. Try to avoid debt as much as possible. The less you owe, the more options you’ll have. Freeing up resources will do wonders when you experience leaner times.
Be agile and adaptable. Be prepared to pivot your strategy if market conditions change or if you encounter unexpected challenges. Unfortunately, too many entrepreneurs become stubborn and refuse to make adjustments, typically leading to unpleasant results.
Learn from mistakes. Use mistakes as learning opportunities and adjust your strategy accordingly. When you do this, you’ll build a healthy habit. One that will allow you to reevaluate situations and change direction to avoid bad results.
Seek professional advice. Consult with experts, mentors, or advisors who can provide valuable insights and guidance. It’s highly advisable to speak with an experienced business consultant who can provide you with the right advice.

And obviously, stay organized and focused. Keep track of your progress, set clear goals, and stay focused on your priorities.

By following these strategies, entrepreneurs can avoid expensive or time-consuming mistakes and increase their chances of successfully growing their businesses.

Want to Accomplish More?

Do you want your company to grow faster and earn more while you spend more time with your family doing all the things you started your business to do?

We can make that dream a reality. Give us 30 minutes and we will show you how to get your life back. Skeptical? Good! Put us to the test.

You can call us for your free appointment at (602) 541-1760, or, if you prefer, Waters Business Consulting Group to learn more about us and the services we offer.

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Samuel Langhorne Clemens, otherwise known by the pen name Mark Twain, once said, “There are three types of lies: lies, damn lies, and statistics.” Today, we’re past the sad story of Theranos and the fall of Elizabeth Holmes. But, Elon Musk and Tesla are filling the void. (As are a number of other brands and emerging technologies.) You can pick your favorite, because there are a number of these hyped or buzz generating entities out there. And, it’s precisely the attention and shine that fools so many people. This includes people looking for opportunities to go into business for themselves. So, how do you know if it’s legitimate or just hype? Why Hype often Falls Short Let’s begin with an important lesson. Buzz dies down and hype eventually wears off. But why? The question is more about a matter of time than some exotic explanation. The fact of the matter is, when an organization or a product is surrounded by hype, it’s usually due to an artificial yet real, phenomenon. In other words, some outrageous (or ingenious) marketing tactics work. People are awe-struck and want to believe. Fortunes were made on products using such hype marketing strategies. Many a consumer bought in to the sizzle once, never to be burned again by products that couldn’t possibly live up to the hype. The world’s a different place today, and consumers are far more demanding. The list of tactics that no longer work on today’s savvy consumers is long, and so is the list of things you can learn from the failures of hype-marketing tactics. —American Express OPEN Forum Although, we all know, reality will rear its presence, at some point. There comes a time when hype and buzz just can’t conceal the fact there’s not much there, there. When the dust settles, hindsight becomes 20/20. Now, sometimes, like in the case of Theranos and Elizabeth Holmes, it’s just investigative reporting. But other times, it’s just high expectations. Remember when the Segway concept first leaked to the public? It proclaimed the future of transportation. That fell way short. How to Get Past All the Hype about a New Business So, just how do you tell if a business idea or even a product or service is only hype? What are the telltale signs? Unfortunately, there’s no magic bullet. But, there are some things you can to do get past all the hype about a new business: Quick! Stop the press! Thomas Edison didn’t exactly invent much. In fact, he once said he’s more of a sponge than an inventor. He also used what’s known as the vaporware marketing tactic. Hearing a rival would soon introduce the first incandescent light bulb, he invited newspaper reports to see his, first. He brought them into a room, one-by-one. And, showed them a prototype. He’d then hurry them out just before it burned out. The same remains true today. You’ve got to look past the glowing press coverage. Look at the fundamentals. Speaking of looking past the media buzz, how about going a bit deeper and actually investigating the fundamentals. Is the company sound? Does it have a workable plan to grow? These and other questions will help you separate fact from fiction. If it sounds too good to be true… Okay, this is practically cliché. Or is it? Take a big step back. Take time to breathe. And, come back with a fresh disposition. If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is. But, it takes an objective look to cut through the buzz. What other ways do you spot hype? How do you look past the buzz and get to the real story? Please share your thoughts and experiences by commenting! Interested in learning more about business? Then just visit Waters Business Consulting Group.